The Kiesraad (Council for the Elections), which handles the election administration and the actual counting of the votes, has announced that all in all 28 parties will compete in the 2017 elections. That’s somewhat more than usual, but a lot less than the 81 parties that are officially registered.
All polls agree that 50Plus will enter parliament after the elections, though they disagree on its exact number of seats: 1, 2, or even 3. In addition, Peil.nl thinks the Pirate Party is going to win one seat, although the other pollsters don’t agree.
In this entry we’ll take a closer look at new parties in parliament, and discover three rules:
- New parties generally win more than one seat.
- Pollsters never miss a new party: if a party gets 0 seats in the polls, it gets 0 seats in parliament.
- The opposite is not true: pollsters frequently give seats to parties who don’t win any.
Peil.nl states in its last poll that two parties are over the half-seat mark and just might get enough votes for a full seat: Lijst 17 and the Pirate Party. (Remember: although the Dutch system is pretty easy on small parties, they have to win one full seat all by themselves. Half-seats don’t count.)
Some small fry from the past ten days that might be of interest to political observers:
Youth broadcasting corporation BNN wants to convert its political programme Lijst 0
(List 0) into a full-fledged political party; apparently as a kind of reality show.
Some small fry that might be of interest to political observers: