25 August 2012
New parties and their success
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All polls agree that 50Plus will enter parliament after the elections, though they disagree on its exact number of seats: 1, 2, or even 3. In addition, Peil.nl thinks the Pirate Party is going to win one seat, although the other pollsters don’t agree.
In this entry we’ll take a closer look at new parties in parliament, and discover three rules:
- New parties generally win more than one seat.
- Pollsters never miss a new party: if a party gets 0 seats in the polls, it gets 0 seats in parliament.
- The opposite is not true: pollsters frequently give seats to parties who don’t win any.