All polls agree that 50Plus will enter parliament after the elections, though they disagree on its exact number of seats: 1, 2, or even 3. In addition, Peil.nl thinks the Pirate Party is going to win one seat, although the other pollsters don’t agree.
In this entry we’ll take a closer look at new parties in parliament, and discover three rules:
- New parties generally win more than one seat.
- Pollsters never miss a new party: if a party gets 0 seats in the polls, it gets 0 seats in parliament.
- The opposite is not true: pollsters frequently give seats to parties who don’t win any.
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Peil.nl states in its last poll that two parties are over the half-seat mark and just might get enough votes for a full seat: Lijst 17 and the Pirate Party. (Remember: although the Dutch system is pretty easy on small parties, they have to win one full seat all by themselves. Half-seats don’t count.)
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Some small fry from the past ten days that might be of interest to political observers:
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Youth broadcasting corporation BNN wants to convert its political programme Lijst 0
(List 0) into a full-fledged political party; apparently as a kind of reality show.
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Some small fry that might be of interest to political observers:
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