Political Quirks monthlies

This is the monthly archive for August 2012.

My grand theory of Dutch politics

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CDA, D66, PVV, PvdA, SP, VVD

Back in the good old days there were three parties: PvdA on the left, CDA in the centre, and VVD on the right.

From 1946 to 1994 the CDA (and its predecessor parties) sat in government and decided on a case-by-case basis whether to form a coalition with PvdA or VVD. Then the CDA itself started to belong to the right but that didn’t change its position in politics. It could go over left, and did so occasionally just to remind the VVD.

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Party profile — PVV

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PVV, Party profiles, Wilders

The Dutch nine-to-twelve-party system is sometimes hard to understand for foreigners; especially when the small parties come into play. Therefore, just like in 2010, I’m running a mini-series that treats all eleven parties that stand a decent chance of winning seats. We’ll go from smallest to largest.

Today we’ll continue with extreme-right PVV, Geert Wilders’s party.

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Party profile — CDA

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CDA, Party profiles

The Dutch nine-to-twelve-party system is sometimes hard to understand for foreigners; especially when the small parties come into play. Therefore, just like in 2010, I’m running a mini-series that treats all eleven parties that stand a decent chance of winning seats. We’ll go from smallest to largest.

Today we’ll continue with the former natural leadership party CDA.

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Polls, polls, polls

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Polls, SGP

New poll found, interesting stats surfaced, and the role of the SGP as a canary. Welcome to Political Quirks, poll edition.

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New parties and their success

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50Plus, Minor parties, Pirates, Polls, PvdD

All polls agree that 50Plus will enter parliament after the elections, though they disagree on its exact number of seats: 1, 2, or even 3. In addition, Peil.nl thinks the Pirate Party is going to win one seat, although the other pollsters don’t agree.

In this entry we’ll take a closer look at new parties in parliament, and discover three rules:

  1. New parties generally win more than one seat.
  2. Pollsters never miss a new party: if a party gets 0 seats in the polls, it gets 0 seats in parliament.
  3. The opposite is not true: pollsters frequently give seats to parties who don’t win any.

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Party profile — SP

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Party profiles, SP

The Dutch nine-to-twelve-party system is sometimes hard to understand for foreigners; especially when the small parties come into play. Therefore, just like in 2010, I’m running a mini-series that treats all eleven parties that stand a decent chance of winning seats. We’ll go from smallest to largest.

Today we’ll continue with left-wing SP.

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Party profile — D66

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D66, Party profiles

The Dutch nine-to-twelve-party system is sometimes hard to understand for foreigners; especially when the small parties come into play. Therefore, just like in 2010, I’m running a mini-series that treats all eleven parties that stand a decent chance of winning seats. We’ll go from smallest to largest.

Today we’ll continue with centrist D66.

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Party profile — GL

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GL, Party profiles

The Dutch nine-to-twelve-party system is sometimes hard to understand for foreigners; especially when the small parties come into play. Therefore, just like in 2010, I’m running a mini-series that treats all eleven parties that stand a decent chance of winning seats. We’ll go from smallest to largest.

Today we’ll continue with green and left GL.

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Polls and the prime-minister race

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Polls, SP, VVD

Although I’ve been silent for a long time I have kept track of the polls, which show a clear advantage for SP and VVD, with the rest of the parties trailing behind. Today I added a feature: a calculation of pollster errors in the 2002-2010 elections, which serves to understand why the Politieke Barometer is the most reliable poll.

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See the May 2012 archive.

This is the political blog of Peter-Paul Koch, mobile platform strategist, consultant, and trainer, in Amsterdam. It’s a hobby blog where he follows Dutch politics for the benefit of those twelve foreigners that are interested in such matters, as well as his Dutch readers.

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