Well, it seems the TNS NIPO poll has finally become a weekly feature. I’ve added it to the polls page.
This poll has always been a bit of an outlyer; while the other two show the CDA at 26 seats, TNS-NIPO gives it only 21 seats, and divides the difference among PVV, D66, and CU. Odd. This poll has the worst track record of the three, so believe what you want.
I’ve made quite a few changes to the polls page. I now weight the three pollsters, and I’ve changed my calculations by using the Dutch election rules themselves on the polls; a nice touch, I feel. Besides, it allows me to get rid of the unassigned seats, which were becoming annoying.
The net result is that the Purple coalition is now officially possible in my average, as it is in every single poll. 76 seats.
Finally I added Senate information to all parties and coalitions. I’ll discuss this topic in more detail in a future post.
<— National Bash the Centre Parties Day | New Peil.nl poll —>
This is the political blog of Peter-Paul Koch, mobile platform strategist, consultant, and trainer, in Amsterdam. It’s a hobby blog where he follows Dutch politics for the benefit of those twelve foreigners that are interested in such matters, as well as his Dutch readers.