Peil.nl has published more
polls, and they consistently show that Bos’s gamble is still paying off.
Unfortunately Peil.nl does not make it easy to link directly to poll results; go to the
homepage and click on the 25-02 polls
to see the results for yourself. (In Dutch, obviously.)
Some highlights:
Do you mind government’s fall? 65% says No (was 62% on Saturday).
Whose fault is government’s fall? 37% CDA, 34% PvdA (was 34% and 33%, respectively).
Both rise, but CDA faster.
Which party will profit most from government’s fall? 51% PVV (was 56%), 23% PvdA
(was 10%), rest below 10%. The PvdA is on an upswing, and the PVV will fall even more than
in this snapshot.
If forced to choose between Balkenende and Eurlings for prime minister, whom would you
elect? 54% Eurlings, 32% Balkenende. Not good. Note that the poll doesn’t ask about
Verhagen any more; apparently he’s toast.
If forced to choose between Bos and Amsterdam mayor Cohen (PvdA) for prime minister,
whom would you elect? Cohen 54%, Bos 36%. This is not good news for Bos, but it should be
noted that Cohen has been mentioned as prime minister before, notably in the 2003 elections,
where Eurlings has never been mentioned before this cycle.
Do you feel that your party should clearly state whether it will enter government with
the PVV? 51% says No, 29% Yes, rest votes PVV. In general voters for the left-wing parties
would appreciate their parties being clear; right-wing voters don’t. D66 is again
somewhere in the middle.
Does Geert Wilders’s willingness to make concessions on nearly everything (including
his anti-Islamic mouth-frothing) make him more suited for government? 56% No, 39% Yes.
Interestingly, CDA voters mostly say No. Only VVD voters (and PVV voters, obviously) say Yes
in majority.
Do you think Wilders has done right in rejecting increase of the pension age? (Note:
this is a left-wing theme, not a right-wing one) 47% No, 42% Yes. Only SP voters say Yes in
majority, and this is exactly the single other party that has categorically rejected the
increase.
There was a very interesting question about what voters would do if their party does
not exclude Wilders from government. Vote for it anyway, or go to another party?
37% will vote for it anyway, 31% will switch, the rest doubts. Unfortunately this question
has not been split up into preferred party; only the overall totals are given.
Oh my, Peil.nl has published more
polls, and they consistently show that Bos’s gamble is still paying off.
Unfortunately Peil.nl does not make it easy to link directly to poll results; go to the
homepage and click on the 25-02 polls
to see the results for yourself. (In Dutch, obviously.)
Some highlights:
Do you mind government’s fall? 65% says No (was 62% on Saturday).
Whose fault is government’s fall? 37% CDA, 34% PvdA (was 34% and 33%, respectively).
Both rise, but CDA faster.
Which party will profit most from government’s fall? 51% PVV (was 56%), 23% PvdA
(was 10%), rest below 10%. The PvdA is on an upswing, and the PVV will fall even more than
in this snapshot.
If forced to choose between Balkenende and Eurlings for prime minister, whom would you
elect? 54% Eurlings, 32% Balkenende. Not good. Note that the poll doesn’t ask about
Verhagen any more; apparently he’s toast.
If forced to choose between Bos and Amsterdam mayor Cohen (PvdA) for prime minister,
whom would you elect? Cohen 54%, Bos 36%. This is not good news for Bos, but it should be
noted that Cohen has been mentioned as prime minister before, notably in the 2003 elections,
where Eurlings has never been mentioned before this cycle.
Do you feel that your party should clearly state whether it will enter government with
the PVV? 51% says No, 29% Yes, rest votes PVV. In general voters for the left-wing parties
would appreciate their parties being clear; right-wing voters don’t. D66 is again
somewhere in the middle.
Does Geert Wilders’s willingness to make concessions on nearly everything (including
his anti-Islamic mouth-frothing) make him more suited for government? 56% No, 39% Yes.
Interestingly, CDA voters mostly say No. Only VVD voters (and PVV voters, obviously) say Yes
in majority.
Do you think Wilders has done right in rejecting increase of the pension age? (Note:
this is a left-wing theme, not a right-wing one) 47% No, 42% Yes. Only SP voters say Yes in
majority, and this is exactly the single other party that has categorically rejected the
increase.
There was a very interesting question about what voters would do if their party does
not exclude Wilders from government. Vote for it anyway, or go to another party?
37% will vote for it anyway, 31% will switch, the rest doubts. Unfortunately this question
has not been split up into preferred party; only the overall totals are given.
This is the political blog of Peter-Paul Koch, mobile platform strategist, consultant, and trainer,
in Amsterdam. It’s a hobby blog where he follows Dutch politics for the benefit of those twelve
foreigners that are interested in such matters, as well as his Dutch readers.
